“There was a big explosion, the heat reached the cafe and then a big wall of fire enveloped the road…. It all happened so fast, in the space of a minute,” he said. “There were people inside. I thought for maybe two seconds that I should go in, but the heat was too strong to get to the door,” said Theberge, who escaped with second-degree burns.
(Reporting by Richard Valdmanis in Nantes, Quebec, and P.J. Huffstutter in Chicago)
First of all the USI team wants to express their sorrow over the loss of so many whom have been involved in a “Black Swan Event”. The Canadian train disaster referenced below brings to light how un-predictable and sudden a crisis can be.
But what is a Black Swan Event?. The term comes from the book “Fooled by Randomness” written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb in 2001. Although there are many interpretations of a “Black Swan Event”, it comes down to three major points:
- The event is a surprise (to the observer).
- The event has a major effect.
- After the first recorded instance of the event, it is rationalized by hindsight, as if it could have been expected; that is, the relevant data were available but unaccounted for in risk mitigation programs. The same is true for the personal perception by individuals.
Black Swan Events, by definition, are unique and unsuspected and therefore can’t be planned for. However, the overall disaster plan for your city should take into consideration as many “angles” as possible to limit, by preparation, the effects of a Black Swan Event.
Many events, as we all know, have core elements which can be planned for, and by expanding response to these core elements, we can limit some of the effects of a Black Swan. For example, if Emergency Recovery Equipment was dispersed throughout a region, no single event could wipe out everything. Therefore, emergencies such as tornado, hurricane, flood or fire can have their impacts lessened on recovery efforts. Core element.
Black Swan Events are capable of touching any one of us at any time. Having an plan in place for yourself and your loved ones is the key to mitigating the effects of any disaster including a Black Swan Event. Creating a plan can seem daunting but USI has provided an excellent guide to get you on your way. Click HERE for more information.
Original story found at: http://news.yahoo.com/insight-train-ran-away-devastated-canadian-town-014559627.html
Overall preparation for what nature can throw at us is not that overwhelming but it does take a little effort. USI has a wealth of information, equipment and training for everyone about all forms of mitigation so visit our web site at www.usiusa.com and if you have a need feel free to call!
USI Understands that Survival isn’t learned from books but real world experience. This is just one area which makes Universal Survival Innovations unique in the world of training and equipment.
Author Ben Barr is a 30+ year SERE Specialist who has been a curriculum developer for the USAF Survival School, USAF Water Survival School, USAF Air Mobility Command, USMC and USN